Since I'm going to be attending Petit Le Mans, I've been closely watching the models over the past few days. I thought I'd share a general overview of what I'm seeing. Unfortunately, the pattern appears to be shaping up to be a wet one.
The weather pattern for this weekend and early next week across the Southeast will feature a strong high pressure area centered over North Carolina, which will provide warm temperatures and a small (20-30%) chance of showers and thunderstorms each afternoon over north Georgia. This is a typical summer-time pattern for the region, but one that is unusually warm for October.
So here's what I can say today about the outlook for Petit with a moderate amount of confidence:
- A good chance of rain each day of the event, with the highest chance of rain on Saturday.
- Mild temperatures and high humidity each day.
Any other details of the forecast, such as rain amounts, have low confidence at this time. And it's WAY too soon to speculate that this will be a repeat of the rain-shortened 2015 Petit Le Mans. The weather pattern this year looks very different than it did that year.
As always, please keep in mind...