By: Harris Cooley A relaxed pressure gradient will be laying over the area through the weekend keeping wind speeds low and southerly. Low pressure will keep moisture high as well with increased rain chances Sunday in the afternoon as the surface heats. Chances are low and showers would be light, but this track becomes a much different beast with even a light round of rain. Temps will be cool with intermittent cloud coverage as well which will keep track temps low for the weekend. An update on rain chances will come as necessary with a metric graphic posted below...
By Doug Schneider The pattern across western Europe this coming weekend will feature a large high pressure system over northern France and England. Monaco will be on the southern edge of this ridge, which means that there will be a generally southeasterly flow through the lower and midlevels of the atmosphere. This flow may spread enough moisture into the area to produce scattered showers and thunderstorms on Saturday and Sunday afternoons, as daytime heating increases instability. The question is where these showers will develop. The most likely area for shower development will be inland of Monaco, and the southeast flow should direct them toward the northeast, staying north of the race. So I think the most likely scenario is that the rain stays away. However, I will have a small chance of showers and storms mentioned on Saturday and Sunday, as they cannot be ruled out.
Below is a forecast graphic in Celsius. Check back later in the week for updates. By: Harris Cooley We are going to start the day with a thunderstorm prior to race time. This will likely leave the track a bit wet to begin the race, though sunshine is expected to follow behind this storm allowing for quick drying of the track. Hot and humid conditions will be felt all day, though steady moderate winds will help to keep things cool as well as dry the track faster. Tire preservation will be key in this one as track temps will be quite hot. A metric graphic is posted below...
By: Harris Cooley Typical Miami weather is expected for the race this weekend as this part of the country has shifted back into spring time conditions. That being hot, humid days conducive for pop-up thunderstorms in the afternoon - which is exactly what is in store for this weekend.
Easterly moisture flowing in with hot surface temps will keep it feeling hot outside for the drivers as well as factor into their tire preservation techniques. The storms should begin to ramp up mid-afternoon for Saturday and Sunday though they should be fast moving. Timely radar surveillance just may win someone the race this weekend depending on how things play out. A metric graph is posted below... By: Harris Cooley There is not much change in this forecast from the initial forecast with clear skies and warm temps being present through race day. Winds will stay calm through the race as well as the pressure gradient remains loose prior to this frontal passage after the race. Clear skies will likely allow for track temps to heat up throughout the day leading up to the race. This will require some attention from the teams as grip is a major factor at this track. Prime racing conditions either way though, so we should be in for a good weekend.
By: Harris Cooley Clear skies and cool temps start the race weekend as a high pressure sits in the Caspian Sea. Moderate to gusty winds will be present Friday afternoon because of this, though Saturday's winds drop down to calm bringing an uptick in temperatures. Sunday will mimic Saturday to start, though lower pressures set in which could bring some moisture to the area earlier than expected.
A better look at the impacts of this system will come in the next update, but the chances are low for Sunday. Conditions should be prime for some fun racing throughout the weekend. A metric graphic is posted below... By: Harris Cooley Steady flow of moisture will be flowing into the region from the south bringing light showers Friday through Saturday. A light cold front will be passing that Saturday night into Sunday morning dropping temps and humidity a bit. Race day will be near perfect driving conditions and should allow the teams' to push their cars as their tires should hold up nicely. Cool track temps and low winds will be the theme for Sunday.
The practice sessions and quali could get slippery as steady rain will keep the track wet. Updates to the rain chances will come this weekend. A metric graphic is posted below... By: Harris Cooley Conditions will be very similar to Bahrain with hot, sunny afternoons and cool evenings. Most of the driving will be done in the evening/night time which will mitigate the risk of high track temps. Higher wind speeds will be sustained in the evenings as a bit of a sea breeze will be present this weekend. This could bring about some traction issues as sand will be blowing onto the track. This has not been a major hindrance in the past but is definitely something to note. A metric graphic is posted below...
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