The ECMWF and GFS models, which are global forecasting models, both indicate some amount of precipitation towards the late afternoon and early evening hours on Sunday. However, the high-resolution European models are showing the majority of precipitation towards the southwestern portions of France. For the moment, I’m inclined to follow the high-resolution models, as they’re results take into account smaller-scale interactions between the land and atmosphere. Though I am confident for the moment for no precipitation for the test day, look for an updated forecast Saturday night into Sunday morning for a better look at the conditions for the day.
With winds at the surface and lower atmosphere coming from the east to northeast, and now with upper level winds coming from the southeast, expect windier conditions than previously forecast with some stronger gusts in the region.