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Race day weather: 12 Hours of Sebring

3/19/2016

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By Doug Schneider
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Here's what the radar is showing across Florida and the Gulf of Mexico this morning (Sebring is near the red dot): 
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There's not much activity near Sebring as of 8 am, but you can see a large area of showers with some thunderstorms that is moving toward the east-southeast. These showers are expected to arrive in the Sebring area this afternoon, roughly between 1 pm and 3 pm. This image of model-simulated radar shows what the radar might look like around 3 pm:
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Don't take that image too literally as it is a model simulation and subject to errors, but this does give a rough idea of the timing of showers and thunderstorms in the area. Other models support this timing, so I have the highest rain chances today around 2 pm. 

The Storm Prediction Center has Sebring in a marginal risk area for severe thunderstorms. Don't get too excited or nervous about that. A marginal risk is very low, but it is non-zero. There may be some gusty winds with the storms, perhaps 30-40 mph. Rain could be briefly heavy too. Total rainfall amounts today are expected to be between a quarter and a half inch, although if a heavier storm moves right over the track, amounts could be higher. 

Once this complex of storms moves through, the chances of rain will be decreasing. There could still be a shower into the overnight hours, but the coverage of showers around the area should be less than in the afternoon. 

You can watch the radar by clicking on our live radar feed at the top of the page. I'll be updating conditions from my Twitter account - @Race4caster. 
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    Doug Schneider, Scott Martin, and Stephen McCoy are race fans and meteorologists dedicated to providing accurate forecasts and timely weather updates at racing venues around the world. We forecast for IndyCar, Indy Lights, Pro Mazda, USF2000, IMSA, Blancpain World Challenge America, and World Endurance Championship, as well as major SCCA and NASA events.


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