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Friday Morning Forecast Update For IMSA at Mid-Ohio

5/4/2018

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By Scott Martin.
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Not much change in the forecast for Friday as the Storm Prediction Center continues to have the track and the immediate surrounding areas in a Marginal Risk for severe storms (level 1 of 5). A Wind Advisory also goes into effect from 11:00 AM this morning until 6:00 PM this evening for increasing winds out of the southwest to west at 15-30 MPH and gusts up to 50 MPH possible.

A weakening cold front will move across the area today bringing with it rain and thunderstorms, with the possibility of damaging wind gusts and a very small risk of a brief tornado or two, especially during the afternoon hours. We'll start off the day with a small chance of showers this morning, then with the daytime heating, rain and thunderstorms will be likely. Temperatures are starting off in the upper 60s, and will top out in the mid-70s. Chance of rain to start is 20% but increases to 70% for the afternoon.

STAY WEATHER AWARE! Heed the call from the PA if a severe alert is issued for the track. Go ahead and have you a place of safety picked out before any thunderstorms arrive. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you're close enough to be struck by lightning. Our radar is already up and running.

Saturday will start off with mostly clear skies with temperatures in the lower 50s, but clouds will be on the increase by the time we reach the afternoon hours. Skies will become mostly cloudy and the high will top out in the lower 70s. The good news is that there is no rain possible, and winds will be out of the south to southeast at 2-7 MPH.

I have been watching the forecast models closely for Sunday's weather as there has been some rain showing on one of those models. Unfortunately, now all of the other forecast models have picked up on the rain formation, so now we'll have to include a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon hours. Skies will start off partly to mostly cloudy and there will be enough moisture that a stray shower is possible during the morning hours, but the odds for that is looking low at this point. Winds will become quite breezy as well, averaging 5-10 MPH out of the south and southwest during the morning, but shifting out of the north by late afternoon and increasing to 10-20 MPH. Morning temperatures will start off in the mid-50s and will reach close to or just at 70 degrees for the high.
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