By Scott Martin - @RaceWx4You
Looking at the latest GFS model trend for this weekend, we'll have moisture in the Central Indiana area throughout each day, but I believe we may be able to squeeze at least two days of racing action without any interruption from Mother Nature. Even though I do have a small chance of rain for Friday, I believe we can make it throughout the day completely dry. The reason for the 20% chance is that models do not handle convective pop-up showers and storms well.
Just about the same can be said for Saturday but had to up the risk a little bit as precipitable water values will be higher, around 1.75 inches. There will be scattered shower and storm development, but I believe those will come later in the afternoon. Crossing my fingers that the on-track activity will be completed by the time those form.
More available moisture will be in the area on Sunday, with precipitable water values up around 2.00 inches. Showers and storms will be able to develop easier with the heating of the day, so there will be scattered to numerous showers around especially during the afternoon hours.
It is still early in the forecast game, but I'll be able to have a better look at what to expect when the higher resolution models come out this week. Radar will be up by Thursday on the site.
Just about the same can be said for Saturday but had to up the risk a little bit as precipitable water values will be higher, around 1.75 inches. There will be scattered shower and storm development, but I believe those will come later in the afternoon. Crossing my fingers that the on-track activity will be completed by the time those form.
More available moisture will be in the area on Sunday, with precipitable water values up around 2.00 inches. Showers and storms will be able to develop easier with the heating of the day, so there will be scattered to numerous showers around especially during the afternoon hours.
It is still early in the forecast game, but I'll be able to have a better look at what to expect when the higher resolution models come out this week. Radar will be up by Thursday on the site.
