Remember my forecast post from Monday when I mentioned the models hinting at some light rain off the east coast of Florida? Well, the models have trended toward bringing that rain closer to the coast, and close enough that I had to add a 20% chance of rain into the forecast. There's a weak low pressure trough that forms offshore that will track west through the day. This will likely bring a lot of cloud cover to the track on Sunday, and maybe a few spits of rain. If there is rain at the track, it will be pretty light, just a few hundredths of an inch. Normally for that little amount of rain and the small chance of it happening at all, I'd keep the Impact Level at None. But since it's practice, just a small amount of rain can interrupt the sessions, so I've changed the Impact Level to Low.
By Doug Schneider - @Race4caster Today's forecast update for the Roar brings in a slight chance of rain on Sunday. The weather for Friday and Saturday is still expected to be sunny and chilly, especially Friday morning when the wind chill could make it feel around 20 degrees. I'm not sure what ambient temperature Continental and Michelin require before cars can hit the track on their tires, but it is possible that the cold temperatures might cause some delays on Friday morning.
Remember my forecast post from Monday when I mentioned the models hinting at some light rain off the east coast of Florida? Well, the models have trended toward bringing that rain closer to the coast, and close enough that I had to add a 20% chance of rain into the forecast. There's a weak low pressure trough that forms offshore that will track west through the day. This will likely bring a lot of cloud cover to the track on Sunday, and maybe a few spits of rain. If there is rain at the track, it will be pretty light, just a few hundredths of an inch. Normally for that little amount of rain and the small chance of it happening at all, I'd keep the Impact Level at None. But since it's practice, just a small amount of rain can interrupt the sessions, so I've changed the Impact Level to Low. By Doug Schneider - @Race4caster Happy New Year!
The 2018 racing season unofficially begins next weekend with the Roar Before the 24 at Daytona. Over the past few days, the models have been showing a pretty consistent pattern across Florida late this week - one that will produce dry but chilly weather for the Roar. With good model agreement on the pattern and good model consistency from run to run, my confidence in this forecast in this forecast is fairly high. During the middle of the week, a cold front will move through Florida, and a large area of high pressure will build into the Southeast states. This high will have origins in central Canada, so the air that it brings with it will be very cold. As a result, temperatures for Friday at Daytona will be well below normal, by about 15-20 degrees. The normal high temperature for Daytona this time of year is 70 degrees, and the normal low is 47. Temperatures will be in the 30s when teams hit the track on Friday morning, and highs will only reach the lower 50s. A northwest wind around 10 mph will make it feel a little colder. But at least it will be sunny. Saturday will continue to have sunny skies with temperatures getting a little warmer, with highs reaching the upper 50s. On Sunday, the high pressure area will move off the coast of North Carolina and Virginia, which will produce a more easterly flow across Florida. This will help warm temperatures up into the 60s, and maybe bring more cloud cover. The models are hinting at some rain off the east coast of Florida on Sunday, but I'm not too concerned about it affecting Daytona. I think it will stay well offshore, if it happens at all. Thanks to Joseph Bierschbach (@usdk1) for allowing the use of his photo for the forecast graphic this week. You can check out his work at redcasephotography.com. We'll be using his photos quite a bit this year. |
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