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Wednesday update for the California 8 Hours

10/24/2018

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By: Stephen McCoy
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An upper level ridge, accompanied by a mid-level ridge, will move through the region into early next week. Weak southwesterly flow from the mid level ridge along with northerly flow in the low levels will keep conditions mostly dry through Friday at these levels. In the upper levels, the ridge will cause winds from the southwest, extending from the warmer, more moist portion of the North Pacific Ocean. In turn, some light clouds or partly cloudy conditions are expected as the moisture approaches the region in the upper levels. There has been a slight shift in the high temperature as the model consensus has trended cooler with the addition of the short-range models. Surface winds are likely to blame for the cooler temperatures as the winds just off the coast have an upward trend in wind speed, bringing cool air from the northwest closer to the shore.

Saturday, surface winds are expected to decrease off the coast, which will allow for warmer temperatures. The ridges in the upper levels and mid-levels will continue to track through the region, with the centers passing through overnight on Friday. Moisture is expected to persist in the upper levels, with light clouds to partly cloudy conditions likely again on Saturday. As mentioned in the initial forecast, surface winds will likely come in from the northwest during the day, then shift to the south and southeast during the evening and night as downslope flow occurs from the Santa Lucia Range.

On Sunday, the backside of the ridges will be located over the region, with winds primarily from the south to southwest. Moisture is expected to move into the mid and upper levels, resulting in mostly cloudy to overcast conditions throughout the day. The cloud cover along with northwesterly winds at the surface will bring slightly cooler temperatures to the region than seen on Saturday.
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