The temperature forecast was a little ugly, to be honest. But I have definitely learned something about forecasting temperatures for Sebring - it's one of the hottest places in the state of Florida. Take a look at this plot of surface observations from the mesonet across central and south Florida from Saturday afternoon:
By Doug Schneider The forecast for Sebring had some good points and some bad points. First, the good points: I think the probability of precipitation (PoP) forecast was good, if a tad too pessimistic. The day that I had forecast the best chances of rain did get some rain in the evening, around 9 pm. From some followers of Racecast Weather on Twitter who were at the track (thanks to Racecast Weather unofficial spotters Michael Goodwin and Vickie Miller), I learned that there were a few drops that fell at the track. From a verification standpoint however, we have to have measureable precipitation (0.01 inches or more) to count as a hit. But I only had 20 to 30 percent rain chances in the forecast, so that's a 70% to 80% chance of no measureable rain, which is good. There was no rain on Friday, as forecast, and the 80% chance of dry weather worked out on Saturday. The temperature forecast was a little ugly, to be honest. But I have definitely learned something about forecasting temperatures for Sebring - it's one of the hottest places in the state of Florida. Take a look at this plot of surface observations from the mesonet across central and south Florida from Saturday afternoon: Sebring Raceway is at the red dot, and you can see that the site nearby shows a temperature of 93, compared to most other sites in the area, which were in the 85 to 90 range. At least I trended the forecast in the right direction, warming temperatures with each update, and ended up pretty close on the last forecast. I'll make a note of the local Sebring heat island effect for my next Sebring forecast.
|
Social Feeds
Instagram
Partners
Authors
Doug Schneider, Scott Martin, and Stephen McCoy are race fans and meteorologists dedicated to providing accurate forecasts and timely weather updates at racing venues around the world. We forecast for IndyCar, Indy Lights, Pro Mazda, USF2000, IMSA, Blancpain World Challenge America, and World Endurance Championship, as well as major SCCA and NASA events. Categories
All
Archives
December 2020
|