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Forecast update: Trans Am at VIR

9/23/2015

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By Doug Schneider
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Unfortunately, the latest data is trending in a wetter direction for this weekend at VIR. A low pressure system will be taking shape over the southeastern states today and tomorrow, and drift slowly northwest through the weekend. The counter-clockwise flow around this low will transport abundant moisture from the Atlantic Ocean into the Carolinas and Virginia. The weather models today have come into better agreement compared to a few days ago, and are all pointing toward a very wet weekend at VIR for the Trans Am and SVRA event.

It appears that scattered rain showers will begin to spread into the area Thursday afternoon. On and off showers will continue Thursday night and Friday morning, with the frequency and intensity of the showers picking up Friday afternoon. The period of the greatest amount of rainfall right now appears to be from Friday afternoon through Saturday morning. With little change to the pattern with the slow-moving low pressure system, the moisture feed off the Atlantic will persist through Saturday. The low pressure system starts to weaken a little and should move far enough away that rain chances will decrease for Sunday. I still think there will be enough moisture around to produce some scattered showers on Sunday, but they should be less frequent and less intense. The total amount of rainfall that can be expected through the event is expected to be between a half inch and one and a half inches. With all the rain and cloud cover, temperatures will be cool, staying at or below 70 degrees for most of the event.

We'll have a radar link ready to go at the top of our website soon. 
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